这几天出了个新闻，13个部门联合发文说加密炒作抬头，稳定币涉洗钱，要继续打击。
In the past few days, news broke that 13 departments jointly issued a document stating that cryptocurrency speculation is on the rise, stablecoins are involved in money laundering, and that this will be continuously cracked down on.
有人来问我怎么办，今后还能玩吗 收支金有点担心 ，今后是不是不能炒币了。
Someone asked me what to do, whether they can still participate, and whether they can no longer trade cryptocurrencies.
其实这个问题不需求回答，咱们只需求简单思考下面的几个疑问就能够得出答案了。
Actually, this question doesn't need an answer. We just need to think about the following questions to find the answer.
假设村长要真的要彻底制止币圈，最早要做的，必定是直接制止买卖所在村子里边运转就能够了。
If the village chief really wanted to completely ban the cryptocurrency industry, the first thing he would do would be to simply prohibit exchanges from operating within the village.
趁便出个村规，1.谁买卖U 违者捆起来面壁3年，2.谁持有U，持有btc也捆起来面壁，数量越大 面壁年数越高。3.炒币赚来的钱都是非法收入，一律要没收，归入村子的库存。
By the way, here are some village rules: 1. Anyone who buys or sells U will be tied up and made to stand facing the wall for 3 years. 2. Anyone who holds U or BTC will also be tied up and made to stand facing the wall; the larger the amount, the longer the standing period. 3. Any money earned from cryptocurrency trading is illegal income and will be confiscated and added to the village's treasury.
那么现在这么多年过去了，欧易币安这些买卖所被制止了吗？ 没有，对吧。那为什么没有呢，是做不到，仍是不想做，仍是没必要做，仍是默许圈子范围内运转。
So now, after all these years, have exchanges like Ease and Binance been banned? No, right? Why not? Is it because they can't, don't want to, or see no need to, or are they simply operating within the established circles?
就像港股券商开户不允许大陆身份开户，直接制止就行了。简简单单就做到了。
Just like how Hong Kong stock brokerages don't allow mainland Chinese individuals to open accounts, you can simply ban them. It's that simple.
为什么这三个履行不下去，由于首先个人买币没有危害到他人，履行这个村规的收益也不是很大的，说白了国内的币圈才几个钱，玩的人自身就不够多，没有影响到咱们村自身的商场。
The reason these three rules can't be implemented is because, firstly, individual cryptocurrency purchases don't harm others, and the benefits of implementing these village rules aren't significant. To put it bluntly, the domestic cryptocurrency market is small, and there aren't enough participants to affect the market within our village itself.
所以仅仅一向发告知，没有立下村规。 So they just kept issuing notices, without establishing any village rules.
告知便是劝你们 告知你们，告知你们最好听我的。-----可是你们不听也不会怎么样。
This notice is meant to persuade you, to tell you that you'd better listen to me. But if you don't listen, nothing will happen.
发告知的意图便是告知大众，不要去玩，这个危险大，已经在玩的人自己要注意，你或许随时会被打击，你的钱也或许会随时没有。
The purpose of issuing the notice is to tell the public not to participate, as it is very risky. Those who are already participating should be careful, as they may be punished at any time, and their money may be lost at any time.
那对于那些持有币许多年的人会由于这些卖掉吗 ？必定不会，那首要方针便是告知币圈外的人不要去玩这个。
Will those who have held the coins for many years sell them because of this? Definitely not. The main goal is to tell people outside the cryptocurrency circle not to get involved in this.
可是，币圈的商场却一向再增长，阐明进去的人越来越多，那为什么人们要进去，自然是有这个需求，买上一点btc，对冲实际国际的危险，他买一点我买一点，虽然都买的少，可是买的人多价格就起来了。参加的人多了，币圈的玩法自然也就多了。
However, the cryptocurrency market continues to grow, indicating that more and more people are entering it. Why are people entering? Naturally, there's a demand: buying some Bitcoin to hedge against real-world risks. If one person buys a little, and another buys a little, even if everyone buys small amounts, the sheer volume of buyers drives up the price. With more people joining, the ways to play in the cryptocurrency market naturally increase.
那么告知的作用便是让不玩的人愈加明确不去玩，一起减慢币在人群中延伸。可是仅仅仅仅延迟作用。
The purpose of the notification is to make it clearer to those who are not already involved that they shouldn't participate, while also slowing down the spread of the coin among the population. However, this is merely a delaying effect.
比方你不认可币，你的街坊炒币发了财，你的朋友发了财，那他的成功必然会影响他身边人 买上一点。
For example, if you don't approve of cryptocurrencies, but your neighbor or friend makes a fortune trading them, their success will inevitably influence those around them to buy some.
你朋友干上路虎了，你仍是自行车，你早就把告知忘记了，有什么比穷和妒忌更让人觉悟的，然后你心一横，MD，早知道就买了。只要有机会，你一定会买的。你不买除非你不穷。
Your friend's driving a Land Rover, while you're still on a bicycle. You've long forgotten about the notification. What's more awakening than poverty and envy? Then you grit your teeth and think, "Damn it, I should have bought one!" Given the chance, you'll definitely buy one. You won't unless you're not poor.
还有便是你的钱许多许多，你看不上币，那不要紧，等你的资产被炸毁一次，或者你身边的有钱人被猎人掠取一次，你听到了这个音讯，你的国际观就会被影响，而你的朋友都买入了，总有一天你也会有配置的需求的。除非这个国际的人都真实变得友好了。
Also, even if you have a lot of money and don't care about cryptocurrencies, that's okay. Once your assets are destroyed, or a wealthy person around you is robbed by hunters, and you hear the news, your worldview will be affected. And since all your friends have bought in, one day you'll also have a need to invest in cryptocurrencies. Unless everyone in this world truly becomes friendly.
假如这个国际真的不需求币了，那么这个国际的其他地方一定是更美好了。咱们这边没有这么显着，可是其他村子。他们几代人尽力的财富或许会被没收，或许过一晚钱就不值钱了，或许土地家园被炸毁了，可是黄金又带不走，跑路只能白手跑路，现在有了币就只能把资产变成币跑路了。币成了这些没有安全感的人的保险单。
If the world truly no longer needs cryptocurrency, then the rest of the world must be a better place. It's not so obvious here, but in other villages, the wealth accumulated over generations might be confiscated, the money might become worthless overnight, their land and homes might be destroyed, but gold can't be taken with you; fleeing means running away empty-handed. Now, with cryptocurrency, the only option is to convert assets into cryptocurrency and run. Cryptocurrency has become an insurance policy for these insecure people.
国际上这么多人加起来买这张保险单，那么保险单就会越来越贵。这种工作没有亲自经历过的人是无法了解这种无法的。
If so many people in the world buy this insurance policy, the policy will become increasingly expensive. Those who haven't experienced it firsthand cannot understand this helplessness.
而我说的储存财富带走财富，这仅仅仅仅btc最微乎其微的长处。
What I mean by storing and taking wealth with you is merely the most insignificant advantage of BTC.
而其它的长处那就太多了，你的钱存钱庄极点情况就取不出来了，这工作是发生过的，可是btc这家钱庄永远不会辜负你。你能够永远信赖它。
The other advantages are numerous. While it's true that in extreme cases you might not be able to withdraw your money from a money exchange—and this has happened before—BTC will never let you down. You can trust it forever.
你买不买币很简单，不需求看其它。而是考虑其他人需求不需求这个东西，这种需求会越来越多吗？假如是的，那么你就能够买一点存起来，既作为出资所需，又作为隔离资产需求。我觉得挺好的。
Whether or not you buy cryptocurrency is simple; you don't need to consider anything else. Instead, consider whether others need this, and whether that demand will increase. If so, then you can buy some and store it, both for investment purposes and as a hedge against asset speculation. I think that's a good approach.
道理很简单，可是能听了解的人必定不多，能照做的人一定也不多的。
The principle is simple, but few people can understand it, and even fewer can put it into practice.
由于btc本来就不是给不需求期望和安全感的人准备的，btc历来也不是他们了解的用来炒币赚点钱用的。
Because BTC was never intended for people who don't need hope and security, and it was never meant to be used for making money through cryptocurrency trading as they understand it.
需求期望和安全感的人，我相信都会存上一点币。 I believe that people who need hope and security will save some money.
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